Moss vs Stromsgodset Prediction & Tips

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Norway - 1. Division Regular Season - 8 Wednesday, May 20, 2026 17:00

Moss PPG 2.00

1-1 HIT CS2

Stromsgodset PPG 1.33

Over3.5· +21.1% ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

75% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 27.7%

Odds: 3.60 EV: -0.2%

Draw 22.9%

Odds: 4.00 EV: -5.0%

Away 49.4%

Odds: 1.73 EV: -14.5%

Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 69.8% Odds: 1.38 -3.7%

Over 3.5 62.1% Odds: 1.95 +21.1%

BTTS 63.6% Odds: 1.36 -13.5%

O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-2 ✘

2nd 1-1 ✔

3rd 2-2 ✘

4th 1-3 ✘

5th 2-3 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Moss

1.77

Stromsgodset

2.52

Model SuggestionOver 2.5 -3.7% EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (-3.7%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 21 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5/Under 57%

BTTS/No 48%

Score Hit 33%

ROI 11.7%

Bet Hit 67% (9 bets)

Verdict & Form

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

75%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.00) > Away AVERAGE (1.33)