Today / Norway - 1. Division / Egersund vs Lyn

Egersund vs Lyn Prediction— Norway - 1. Division

Regular Season - 8 ·Wednesday, May 20, 2026, 17:00

Egersund

PPG 2.25 · HOME

0 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · HOME

Lyn

PPG 2.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Model probability 53.2% vs bookmaker-implied 59.5%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.1%0-15.2%0-22.3%0-30.7%0-4+0.2%1 1-011.8%1-110.2%1-24.4%1-31.3%1-4+0.3%2 2-011.4%2-19.8%2-24.2%2-31.2%2-4+0.3%3 3-07.4%3-16.4%3-22.7%3-30.8%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-05.6%4+-14.8%4+-22.1%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 53.2% 59.5% 1.68 -10.6%

Draw 24.7% 26.0% 3.85 -2.9%

Away win 22.1% 24.4% 4.10 -5.6%

Over 2.5 52.6% 66.7% 1.50 -21.1%

Over 3.5 30.8% 44.4% 2.25 -30.7%

BTTS 51.6% 67.6% 1.48 -23.6%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 49 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 59%

O2.5 69%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 25%

ROI 5.8%

Bet Hit 69%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 36%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)1.9 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob51.6%

H 53% / xG 1.9-0.9 / O2.5 53% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.2%

#2 2–0 11.4%

#3 1–0 11.8%

#4 2–1 9.8%

#5 0–0✓ 6.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Egersund1.9

Lyn0.9

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 52.6% · O3.5 PROB 30.8%

Form & verdict PPG

EGERSUND · PPG 2.25

LYN · PPG 2.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home EXCELLENT (2.25), Away EXCELLENT (2.00)

Win probability 1X2

Egersund (H) 53.2%

ODDS 1.68 · IMPLIED 59.5% EV -10.6%

Draw 24.7%

ODDS 3.85 · IMPLIED 26.0% EV -2.9%

Lyn (A) 22.1%

ODDS 4.10 · IMPLIED 24.4% EV -5.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

Egersund face Lyn in Norway - 1. Division on Wednesday, May 20, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Egersund a 53% chance, the draw 25% and Lyn 22%, so Egersund are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Egersund and 0.9 for Lyn (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Egersund are averaging 2.25 points per game versus 2.00 for Lyn. This match finished 0-0.

Egersund vs Lyn Prediction— Norway - 1. Division

Match Preview & Prediction

More Norway - 1. Division Predictions