Today / Sweden - Ettan - Södra / Laholm vs Rosengard

Laholm vs Rosengard Prediction— Sweden - Ettan - Södra

Södra - 8 ·Monday, May 18, 2026, 17:00

Laholm

PPG 1.33 · HOME

1 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Rosengard

PPG 2.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 59.7% vs bookmaker-implied 62.5%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.1%0-19.2%0-28.3%0-35.0%0-4+3.5%1 1-05.9%1-110.7%1-29.7%1-35.9%1-4+4.0%2 2-03.5%2-16.3%2-25.7%2-33.4%2-4+2.4%3 3-01.3%3-12.4%3-22.2%3-31.3%3-4+0.9%4+ 4+-00.5%4+-10.9%4+-20.8%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 28.5% 28.6% 3.50 -0.1%

Draw 25.4% 28.2% 3.55 -5.9%

Away win 46.1% 54.1% 1.85 -14.7%

Over 2.5 59.1% 58.8% 1.70 +0.5%

Over 3.5 34.9% 36.4% 2.75 -4.0%

BTTS 59.7% 62.5% 1.60 -4.5%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 50 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 54%

O2.5 60%

BTTS 66%

Score Hit 34%

ROI 10.8%

Bet Hit 71%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 48%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-3

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)1.8 BTTS prob59.7%

A 46% / xG 1.2-1.8 / O2.5 59% / BTTS 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.7%

#2 1–2 9.7%

#3 0–2 8.3%

#4 0–1 9.2%

#5 0–0 5.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Laholm1.2

Rosengard1.8

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.1% · O3.5 PROB 34.9%

Form & verdict PPG

LAHOLM · PPG 1.33

ROSENGARD · PPG 2.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.00) vs Home AVERAGE (1.33)

Win probability 1X2

Laholm (H) 28.5%

ODDS 3.50 · IMPLIED 28.6% EV -0.1%

Draw 25.4%

ODDS 3.55 · IMPLIED 28.2% EV -5.9%

Rosengard (A) 46.1%

ODDS 1.85 · IMPLIED 54.1% EV -14.7%

Match Preview & Prediction

Laholm face Rosengard in Sweden - Ettan - Södra on Monday, May 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Laholm a 28% chance, the draw 25% and Rosengard 46%, so Rosengard are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Laholm and 1.8 for Rosengard (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Laholm are averaging 1.33 points per game versus 2.00 for Rosengard. The best value bet our model finds is over 2.5 goals, with an expected value of +0.5%. This match finished 1-3.

Laholm vs Rosengard Prediction— Sweden - Ettan - Södra

Match Preview & Prediction

More Sweden - Ettan - Södra Predictions