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Spain - La Liga logo Spain flag Spain - La Liga Regular Season - 37 Camp Nou· Barcelona Sunday, May 17, 2026 19:15
FC Barcelona logo FC Barcelona PPG 3.00
3-1 MISS
Real Betis logo Real Betis PPG 1.33
Away· +27.6% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 60.5%
Odds: 1.31 EV: -20.8%
Draw 21.7%
Odds: 5.40 EV: +10.3%
Away 17.8%
Odds: 8.20 EV: +27.6%
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 61.4% Odds: 1.35 -17.1%
Over 3.5 41.2% Odds: 1.83 -24.6%
BTTS 52.6% Odds: 1.53 -19.5%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-0
2nd 2-1
3rd 1-1
4th 3-0
5th 1-0

Expected Goals (xG)

FC Barcelona
2.38
Real Betis
0.89

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 -17.1% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -17.1% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+27.6%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record

Based on 70 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 51%
O2.5/Under 60%
BTTS/No 64%
Score Hit 56%
ROI -19.9%
Bet Hit 42% (26 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (3.00) vs P(Home)=60.5%

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