Predict
Vantage
Today
Top Picks
Accuracy
Leagues
← Back to picks
Spain - La Liga
Regular Season - 37
Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere· Oviedo
Sunday, May 17, 2026
17:00
Real Oviedo
PPG 1.06
0-1
HIT CS3
Alaves
PPG 0.72
Home· +31.2%
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value
52% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home
32.8%
Odds: 4.00
EV: +31.2%
Draw
30.3%
Odds: 3.60
EV: +9.1%
Away
36.9%
Odds: 1.84
EV: -32.1%
Result: Away ✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5
46.2%
Odds: 1.83
-15.4%
Over 3.5
15.4%
Odds: 3.10
-31.4%
BTTS
48.7%
Odds: 1.73
-15.8%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔
BTTS NO → NO ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st
1-1
✘
2nd
0-0
✘
3rd
0-1
✔
4th
1-0
✘
5th
0-2
✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Real Oviedo
0.95
Alaves
1.10
Model Suggestion
No Bet
NO VALUE BET
Model lean:
No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value
52%
MODERATE_HOME
Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.06) > Away POOR (0.72)