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Spain - La Liga logo Spain flag Spain - La Liga Regular Season - 37 Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere· Oviedo Sunday, May 17, 2026 17:00
Real Oviedo logo Real Oviedo PPG 1.06
0-1 HIT CS3
Alaves logo Alaves PPG 0.72
Home· +31.2% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value
52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 32.8%
Odds: 4.00 EV: +31.2%
Draw 30.3%
Odds: 3.60 EV: +9.1%
Away 36.9%
Odds: 1.84 EV: -32.1%
Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 46.2% Odds: 1.83 -15.4%
Over 3.5 15.4% Odds: 3.10 -31.4%
BTTS 48.7% Odds: 1.73 -15.8%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 0-0
3rd 0-1
4th 1-0
5th 0-2

Expected Goals (xG)

Real Oviedo
0.95
Alaves
1.10

Model Suggestion

No Bet NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.06) > Away POOR (0.72)

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