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Spain - La Liga logo Spain flag Spain - La Liga Regular Season - 37 Estadio El Sadar· Pamplona Sunday, May 17, 2026 17:00
Osasuna logo Osasuna PPG 1.78
1-2 MISS
Espanyol logo Espanyol PPG 0.94
Over2.5· +11.9% ✓ SOLID - Strong home form
80% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 48.7%
Odds: 2.14 EV: +4.2%
Draw 26.6%
Odds: 2.92 EV: -13.4%
Away 24.7%
Odds: 3.85 EV: -2.9%
Model lean: BTTS
Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 47.6% Odds: 2.35 +11.9%
Over 3.5 25.0% Odds: 4.33 +5.0%
BTTS 51.6% Odds: 2.00 +3.2%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 1-0
3rd 0-0
4th 2-1
5th 2-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Osasuna
1.52
Espanyol
1.02

Model Suggestion

BTTS +3.2% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home.
Raw EV leader: Over2.5(+11.9%)

Verdict & Form

✓ SOLID - Strong home form
80%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.78) vs P(Home)=48.7%

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