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Spain - La Liga logo Spain flag Spain - La Liga Regular Season - 37 Estadio Ciudad de Valencia· Valencia Sunday, May 17, 2026 17:00
Levante logo Levante PPG 1.28
2-0 HIT CS5
Mallorca logo Mallorca PPG 0.50
Home· -1.6% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 46.4%
Odds: 2.12 EV: -1.6%
Draw 26.7%
Odds: 3.45 EV: -4.7%
Away 27.0%
Odds: 3.25 EV: -7.3%
Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 52.6% Odds: 1.83 -3.7%
Over 3.5 30.1% Odds: 3.10 -6.7%
BTTS 54.6% Odds: 1.67 -8.8%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 2-1
3rd 0-0
4th 1-0
5th 2-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Levante
1.53
Mallorca
1.24

Model Suggestion

BTTS -8.8% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -8.8% at these odds — not a recommended bet.

League Track Record

Based on 70 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 51%
O2.5/Under 60%
BTTS/No 64%
Score Hit 56%
ROI -19.9%
Bet Hit 42% (26 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.28) > Away POOR (0.50)

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