Liepaja vs Daugavpils Prediction & Tips

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Latvia - Virsliga Regular Season - 13 Daugavas stadions Sunday, May 17, 2026 16:00

Liepaja PPG 1.33

2-1 HIT CS2

Daugavpils PPG 1.00

Away· +9.1% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 48.6%

Odds: 1.64 EV: -20.3%

Draw 25.8%

Odds: 3.80 EV: -1.2%

Away 25.6%

Odds: 4.50 EV: +9.1%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 59.1% Odds: 1.65 -2.5%

Over 3.5 32.7% Odds: 2.60 -15.0%

BTTS 59.3% Odds: 1.62 -3.9%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 2-1 ✔

3rd 2-0 ✘

4th 1-0 ✘

5th 0-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Liepaja

1.66

Daugavpils

1.23

Model SuggestionBTTS -3.9% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -3.9% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Away (+9.1%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 43 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 67%

O2.5/Under 61%

BTTS/No 54%

Score Hit 56%

ROI -16.4%

Bet Hit 50% (10 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.33) > Away AVERAGE (1.00)