Sheffield Wed vs Charlton Prediction— England - Championship

England - Championship Regular Season - 43 Hillsborough· Sheffield Saturday, April 18, 2026 14:00

Sheffield Wed PPG 0.29

1-1 HIT CS3

Charlton PPG 1.00

Draw· +9.7% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum

63% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Sheffield Wed face Charlton in England - Championship on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Sheffield Wed a 21% chance, the draw 31% and Charlton 49%, so Charlton are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.7 for Sheffield Wed and 1.2 for Charlton (1.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-1. There is a 28% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 34% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Sheffield Wed are averaging 0.29 points per game versus 1.00 for Charlton. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +9.7%. This match finished 1-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 20.7%

Odds: 4.90 EV: +1.4%

Draw 30.9%

Odds: 3.55 EV: +9.7%

Away 48.5%

Odds: 1.71 EV: -17.1%

Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 28.0% Odds: 2.05 -42.6%

Over 3.5 11.5% Odds: 3.70 -57.5%

BTTS 33.5% Odds: 1.95 -34.7%

O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-1 ✘

2nd 0-0 ✘

3rd 1-1 ✔

4th 0-2 ✘

5th 1-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Sheffield Wed

0.66

Charlton

1.18

Model SuggestionNo Bet  NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 46 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5/Under 59%

BTTS/No 46%

Score Hit 54%

ROI -1.0%

Bet Hit 56% (16 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: AVERAGE form (1.00) vs Home POOR (0.29)