Preston vs West Brom Prediction— England - Championship

England - Championship Regular Season - 43 Deepdale· Preston Saturday, April 18, 2026 14:00

Preston PPG 1.48

0-2 MISS

West Brom PPG 0.76

Home· +88.7% ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

75% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Preston face West Brom in England - Championship on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Preston a 56% chance, the draw 26% and West Brom 19%, so Preston are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Preston and 0.8 for West Brom (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 41% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 42% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Preston are averaging 1.48 points per game versus 0.76 for West Brom. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +88.7%. This match finished 0-2.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 55.5%

Odds: 3.40 EV: +88.7%

Draw 25.7%

Odds: 3.25 EV: -16.5%

Away 18.7%

Odds: 2.14 EV: -60.0%

Model lean: Home

Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 40.5% Odds: 2.10 -14.9%

Over 3.5 20.1% Odds: 3.80 -23.6%

BTTS 42.1% Odds: 1.85 -22.1%

O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-0 ✘

2nd 1-1 ✘

3rd 2-0 ✘

4th 0-0 ✘

5th 2-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Preston

1.53

West Brom

0.77

Model SuggestionHome +88.7% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home. 

Verdict & Form

✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

75%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.48) > Away POOR (0.76)