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Sweden - Ettan - Södra logo Sweden flag Sweden - Ettan - Södra Södra - 8 Sunday, May 17, 2026 14:00
Olympic logo Olympic PPG 2.00
2-3 MISS
Atvidaberg logo Atvidaberg PPG 0.67
Home· +2.4% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 45.5%
Odds: 2.25 EV: +2.4%
Draw 27.9%
Odds: 3.40 EV: -3.1%
Away 26.6%
Odds: 2.80 EV: -15.3%
Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 47.6% Odds: 1.77 -15.8%
Over 3.5 23.5% Odds: 2.95 -18.4%
BTTS 51.6% Odds: 1.60 -17.4%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 0-0
3rd 1-0
4th 2-1
5th 2-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Olympic
1.37
Atvidaberg
1.10

Model Suggestion

BTTS -17.4% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -17.4% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Home (+2.4%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record

Based on 22 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%
O2.5/Under 77%
BTTS/No 68%
Score Hit 32%
ROI -6.6%
Bet Hit 56% (9 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.00) vs P(Home)=45.5%

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