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Sweden - Ettan - Norra logo Sweden flag Sweden - Ettan - Norra Norra - 8 Danderyd IP· Stocksund Sunday, May 17, 2026 14:00
Stocksund logo Stocksund PPG 0.50
2-3 MISS
Pitea logo Pitea PPG 1.00
Over3.5· +24.0% ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team
65% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 50.8%
Odds: 2.20 EV: +11.8%
Draw 22.4%
Odds: 3.75 EV: -9.6%
Away 26.8%
Odds: 2.62 EV: -17.9%
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 69.8% Odds: 1.38 -3.7%
Over 3.5 63.6% Odds: 1.95 +24.0%
BTTS 66.7% Odds: 1.33 -11.3%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-1
2nd 2-2
3rd 1-1
4th 3-1
5th 1-2

Expected Goals (xG)

Stocksund
2.43
Pitea
1.94

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 -3.7% EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (-3.7%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.

League Track Record

Based on 25 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 28%
O2.5/Under 68%
BTTS/No 64%
Score Hit 32%
ROI -26.9%
Bet Hit 40% (10 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team
65%
DANGER

Home weakness: POOR (0.50) vs Away AVERAGE (1.00)

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