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Sweden - Ettan - Norra Sunday, May 17, 2026 14:00 
Karlstad PPG 2.25 
Vasalund PPG 0.67
Sweden - Ettan - Norra Sunday, May 17, 2026 14:00 Karlstad PPG 2.255-0 MISS
Vasalund PPG 0.67Home· +14.0% 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
95% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Home
Result: Home
✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 47.6% Odds: 1.73 -17.6%
Over 3.5 23.2% Odds: 2.75 -21.7%
BTTS 51.6% Odds: 1.57 -19.0%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st 1-1 ✘
2nd 1-0 ✘
3rd 2-0 ✘
4th 0-0 ✘
5th 2-1 ✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Karlstad 1.59
Vasalund 0.86
Model Suggestion
Home +14.0% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home.
Verdict & Form
🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME 95%
Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.25) vs P(Home)=51.8%