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Sweden - Ettan - Norra logo Sweden flag Sweden - Ettan - Norra Norra - 8 Gavlevallen Sunday, May 17, 2026 14:00
Gefle logo Gefle PPG 2.00
0-0 MISS
Assyriska logo Assyriska PPG 1.33
Over3.5· +55.3% ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
75% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 52.8%
Odds: 1.95 EV: +3.0%
Draw 22.4%
Odds: 3.55 EV: -12.3%
Away 24.8%
Odds: 3.20 EV: -12.4%
Model lean: Over 2.5
Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 69.8% Odds: 1.62 +13.1%
Over 3.5 62.1% Odds: 2.50 +55.3%
BTTS 63.0% Odds: 1.50 -5.5%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-1
2nd 3-1
3rd 1-1
4th 2-2
5th 3-2

Expected Goals (xG)

Gefle
2.73
Assyriska
1.56

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 +13.1% ROI TRACKS: Over 2.5
Tracked ROI market: Over 2.5.
Raw EV leader: Over3.5(+55.3%)

League Track Record

Based on 25 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 28%
O2.5/Under 68%
BTTS/No 64%
Score Hit 32%
ROI -26.9%
Bet Hit 40% (10 bets)

Verdict & Form

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
75%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.00) > Away AVERAGE (1.33)

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