Hull City PPG 1.62
Birmingham City PPG 0.86Hull City face Birmingham City in England - Championship on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Hull City a 56% chance, the draw 23% and Birmingham City 21%, so Hull City are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Hull City and 1.0 for Birmingham City (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 55% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 54% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Hull City are averaging 1.62 points per game versus 0.86 for Birmingham City. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +37.2%. This match finished 1-1.
Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.62) > Away POOR (0.86)