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Sweden - Division 2 - Västra Götaland logo Sweden flag Sweden - Division 2 - Västra Götaland Västra Götaland - 8 Sunday, May 17, 2026 11:00
Jonsered logo Jonsered PPG 2.33
0-5 MISS
Lindome logo Lindome PPG 2.00
Over3.5· +4.5% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 59.7%
Odds: 1.68 EV: +0.3%
Draw 20.9%
Odds: 4.00 EV: -9.8%
Away 19.4%
Odds: 3.90 EV: -14.6%
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 63.9% Odds: 1.38 -11.8%
Over 3.5 53.6% Odds: 1.95 +4.5%
BTTS 59.7% Odds: 1.38 -17.6%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-1
2nd 3-1
3rd 2-0
4th 1-1
5th 3-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Jonsered
2.71
Lindome
1.14

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 -11.8% EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (-11.8%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.33) > Away EXCELLENT (2.00)

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