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Sweden - Ettan - Norra Sunday, May 17, 2026 11:00 
FBK Karlstad PPG 3.00 
Umea PPG 1.50
Sweden - Ettan - Norra Sunday, May 17, 2026 11:00 FBK Karlstad PPG 3.001-1 HIT CS4
Umea PPG 1.50Home· +38.6% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
66% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Over 2.5
Result: Draw
✘
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 63.9% Odds: 1.53 -2.2%
Over 3.5 44.7% Odds: 2.35 +5.1%
BTTS 52.6% Odds: 1.44 -24.3%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st 2-0 ✘
2nd 2-1 ✘
3rd 3-0 ✘
4th 1-1 ✔
5th 3-1 ✘
Expected Goals (xG)
FBK Karlstad 2.55
Umea 0.88
Model Suggestion
Over 2.5 -2.2% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home.
League Track Record ↗
Based on 25 resolved predictions
1X2 Acc 28%
O2.5/Under 68%
BTTS/No 64%
Score Hit 32%
ROI -26.9%
Bet Hit 40% (10 bets)
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME 66%
Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (3.00) vs P(Home)=61.6%