Werder Bremen PPG 1.14
Hamburger SV PPG 0.71Werder Bremen face Hamburger SV in Germany - Bundesliga on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Werder Bremen a 37% chance, the draw 27% and Hamburger SV 36%, so Werder Bremen are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Werder Bremen and 1.3 for Hamburger SV (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 47% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Werder Bremen are averaging 1.14 points per game versus 0.71 for Hamburger SV. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +31.4%. This match finished 3-1.
Based on 45 resolved predictions
Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.14) > Away POOR (0.71)