Riga FC vs FS Jelgava Prediction & Tips

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Latvia - Virsliga Regular Season - 13 Skonto stadions· Riga Saturday, May 16, 2026 16:00

Riga FC PPG 2.60

2-2 MISS

FS Jelgava PPG 1.00

Draw· +24.1% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...

66% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 71.7%

Odds: 1.13 EV: -19.0%

Draw 20.6%

Odds: 6.80 EV: +24.1%

Away 7.8%

Odds: 15.00 EV: +10.2%

Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 63.9% Odds: 1.30 -16.9%

Over 3.5 59.1% Odds: 1.80 +6.4%

BTTS 50.4% Odds: 1.95 -1.7%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 3-0 ✘

2nd 4-0 ✘

3rd 2-0 ✘

4th 3-1 ✘

5th 5-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Riga FC

3.48

FS Jelgava

0.64

Model SuggestionHome -19.0% EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (-19.0%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 43 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 67%

O2.5/Under 61%

BTTS/No 54%

Score Hit 56%

ROI -16.4%

Bet Hit 50% (10 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...

66%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.60), Away AVERAGE (1.00) - Strong consensus