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Quick Boys vs IJsselmeerv. Prediction— Netherlands - Tweede Divisie

Regular Season - 33 ·Saturday, May 16, 2026, 13:30

Quick Boys

PPG 2.06 · HOME

2 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

IJsselmeerv.

PPG 0.81 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.4 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 63.2% vs bookmaker-implied 63.7%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.4%0-13.1%0-21.4%0-30.4%0-4+0.1%1 1-08.3%1-17.7%1-23.6%1-31.1%1-4+0.3%2 2-010.3%2-19.5%2-24.4%2-31.3%2-4+0.4%3 3-08.4%3-17.8%3-23.6%3-31.1%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-09.3%4+-18.6%4+-24.0%4+-31.2%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 60.7% 69.4% 1.44 -12.6%

Draw 21.4% 23.8% 4.20 -6.1%

Away win 17.9% 20.0% 5.00 -6.3%

Over 2.5 63.2% 63.7% 1.57 -0.8%

Over 3.5 43.8% 45.7% 2.19 -4.1%

BTTS 54.6% 61.7% 1.62 -11.6%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 29 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 72%

O2.5 69%

BTTS 55%

Score Hit 28%

ROI 27.0%

Bet Hit 86%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 52%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-2

xG (home)2.5 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob54.6%

H 61% / xG 2.5-0.9 / O2.5 63% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 10.3%

#2 2–1 9.5%

#3 1–1 7.7%

#4 3–0 8.4%

#5 3–1 7.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Quick Boys2.5

IJsselmeerv.0.9

COMBINED 3.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.2% · O3.5 PROB 43.8%

Form & verdict PPG

QUICK BOYS · PPG 2.06

IJSSELMEERV. · PPG 0.81

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.06) vs P(Home)=60.7%

Win probability 1X2

Quick Boys (H) 60.7%

ODDS 1.44 · IMPLIED 69.4% EV -12.6%

Draw 21.4%

ODDS 4.20 · IMPLIED 23.8% EV -6.1%

IJsselmeerv. (A) 17.9%

ODDS 5.00 · IMPLIED 20.0% EV -6.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

Quick Boys face IJsselmeerv. in Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on Saturday, May 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Quick Boys a 61% chance, the draw 21% and IJsselmeerv. 18%, so Quick Boys are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.5 for Quick Boys and 0.9 for IJsselmeerv. (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Quick Boys are averaging 2.06 points per game versus 0.81 for IJsselmeerv.. This match finished 2-2.

Quick Boys vs IJsselmeerv. Prediction— Netherlands - Tweede Divisie

Match Preview & Prediction

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