← Back to picks 
Netherlands - Tweede Divisie Saturday, May 16, 2026 13:30 
Jong Sparta PPG 1.50 
De Treffers PPG 1.69
Netherlands - Tweede Divisie Saturday, May 16, 2026 13:30 Jong Sparta PPG 1.501-4 MISS
De Treffers PPG 1.69Home· +33.8% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity | Best EV...
48% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away
✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 63.9% Odds: 1.33 -15.0%
Over 3.5 56.3% Odds: 1.78 +0.2%
BTTS 63.0% Odds: 1.36 -14.3%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st 1-1 ✘
2nd 1-2 ✘
3rd 2-2 ✘
4th 2-1 ✘
5th 1-3 ✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Jong Sparta 1.80
De Treffers 2.18
Model Suggestion
Over 2.5 -15.0% EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (-15.0%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity | Best EV...
BALANCED 48%
Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.50), Away GOOD (1.69)