HSV Hoek vs Rijnsburgse B. Prediction & Tips

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Netherlands - Tweede Divisie Regular Season - 33 Sportpark Denoek· Hoek Saturday, May 16, 2026 13:30

HSV Hoek PPG 2.00

2-0 HIT CS4

Rijnsburgse B. PPG 1.44

Home· +10.5% ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 51.4%

Odds: 2.15 EV: +10.5%

Draw 23.9%

Odds: 3.50 EV: -9.8%

Away 24.7%

Odds: 2.62 EV: -21.2%

Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 63.9% Odds: 1.36 -13.1%

Over 3.5 45.0% Odds: 1.96 -11.8%

BTTS 59.7% Odds: 1.36 -18.8%

O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 2-1 ✘

3rd 2-2 ✘

4th 2-0 ✔

5th 1-2 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

HSV Hoek

2.02

Rijnsburgse B.

1.42

Model SuggestionOver 2.5 -13.1% EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (-13.1%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.

Verdict & Form

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.00) > Away AVERAGE (1.44)