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Netherlands - Tweede Divisie logo Netherlands flag Netherlands - Tweede Divisie Regular Season - 33 Sportpark Dijkpolder· Maassluis Saturday, May 16, 2026 13:30
E. Maassluis logo E. Maassluis PPG 1.31
0-1 MISS
Jong Almere C. logo Jong Almere C. PPG 0.94
Away· -1.1% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 35.1%
Odds: 2.30 EV: -19.3%
Draw 23.7%
Odds: 3.60 EV: -8.8%
Away 41.2%
Odds: 2.40 EV: -1.1%
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 63.5% Odds: 1.50 -4.8%
Over 3.5 44.0% Odds: 2.15 -5.4%
BTTS 59.7% Odds: 1.40 -16.4%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 1-2
3rd 2-1
4th 2-2
5th 0-2

Expected Goals (xG)

E. Maassluis
1.58
Jong Almere C.
1.81

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 -4.8% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -4.8% at these odds — not a recommended bet.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.31) > Away POOR (0.94)

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