Today / Germany - Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg / VfR Mannheim vs T. Neckarsulm

VfR Mannheim vs T. Neckarsulm Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg

Baden-Württemberg - 32 ·Saturday, May 16, 2026, 13:30

VfR Mannheim

PPG 1.80 · HOME

4 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

T. Neckarsulm

PPG 1.40 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.3 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.8%0-13.9%0-22.0%0-30.7%0-4+0.2%1 1-08.6%1-18.7%1-24.4%1-31.5%1-4+0.5%2 2-09.7%2-19.8%2-25.0%2-31.7%2-4+0.5%3 3-07.3%3-17.4%3-23.7%3-31.3%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-06.9%4+-17.0%4+-23.6%4+-31.2%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 55.1% — — —

Draw 23.0% — — —

Away win 21.9% — — —

Over 2.5 61.4% — — —

Over 3.5 41.3% — — —

BTTS 56.6% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 53 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 43%

O2.5 79%

BTTS 76%

Score Hit 32%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 46%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 4-0

xG (home)2.3 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob56.6%

H 55% / xG 2.3-1.0 / O2.5 61% / BTTS 57%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 8.7%

#2 2–1 9.8%

#3 2–0 9.7%

#4 3–1 7.4%

#5 1–0 8.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

VfR Mannheim2.3

T. Neckarsulm1.0

COMBINED 3.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.4% · O3.5 PROB 41.3%

Form & verdict PPG

VFR MANNHEIM · PPG 1.80

T. NECKARSULM · PPG 1.40

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.80) > Away AVERAGE (1.40)

Win probability 1X2

VfR Mannheim (H) 55.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 23.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

T. Neckarsulm (A) 21.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

VfR Mannheim face T. Neckarsulm in Germany - Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg on Saturday, May 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives VfR Mannheim a 55% chance, the draw 23% and T. Neckarsulm 22%, so VfR Mannheim are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.3 for VfR Mannheim and 1.0 for T. Neckarsulm (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 57% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, VfR Mannheim are averaging 1.80 points per game versus 1.40 for T. Neckarsulm. This match finished 4-0.

VfR Mannheim vs T. Neckarsulm Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg

Match Preview & Prediction

More Germany - Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg Predictions