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T. Singen vs TSV Essingen Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg

Baden-Württemberg - 32 ·Saturday, May 16, 2026, 13:30

T. Singen

PPG 0.80 · HOME

6 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

TSV Essingen

PPG 1.67 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.8 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.1%0-15.1%0-26.0%0-34.7%0-4+4.9%1 1-03.2%1-17.5%1-28.8%1-37.0%1-4+7.2%2 2-02.3%2-15.5%2-26.5%2-35.2%2-4+5.3%3 3-01.2%3-12.7%3-23.2%3-32.5%3-4+2.6%4+ 4+-00.6%4+-11.4%4+-21.7%4+-31.3%4+-4+1.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 26.5% — — —

Draw 21.9% — — —

Away win 51.6% — — —

Over 2.5 63.9% — — —

Over 3.5 53.6% — — —

BTTS 62.6% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 53 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 43%

O2.5 79%

BTTS 76%

Score Hit 32%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 62%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 6-1

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)2.4 BTTS prob62.6%

A 52% / xG 1.5-2.4 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–2 8.8%

#2 1–1 7.5%

#3 1–3 7.0%

#4 2–2 6.5%

#5 0–2 6.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

T. Singen1.5

TSV Essingen2.4

COMBINED 3.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.9% · O3.5 PROB 53.6%

Form & verdict PPG

T. SINGEN · PPG 0.80

TSV ESSINGEN · PPG 1.67

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.67) vs Home POOR (0.80)

Win probability 1X2

T. Singen (H) 26.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

TSV Essingen (A) 51.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

T. Singen face TSV Essingen in Germany - Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg on Saturday, May 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives T. Singen a 27% chance, the draw 22% and TSV Essingen 52%, so TSV Essingen are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for T. Singen and 2.4 for TSV Essingen (3.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-2. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, T. Singen are averaging 0.80 points per game versus 1.67 for TSV Essingen. This match finished 6-1.

T. Singen vs TSV Essingen Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg

Match Preview & Prediction

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