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Karlsruher B vs Reutlingen Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg

Baden-Württemberg - 32 ·Saturday, May 16, 2026, 13:30

Karlsruher B

PPG 1.13 · HOME

1 – 4

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Reutlingen

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.4 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.3%0-15.7%0-24.9%0-32.8%0-4+1.7%1 1-05.6%1-19.6%1-28.2%1-34.7%1-4+3.0%2 2-04.8%2-18.1%2-27.0%2-34.0%2-4+2.5%3 3-02.7%3-14.6%3-23.9%3-32.3%3-4+1.4%4+ 4+-01.7%4+-12.9%4+-22.4%4+-31.4%4+-4+0.9%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 37.4% — — —

Draw 24.9% — — —

Away win 37.7% — — —

Over 2.5 63.9% — — —

Over 3.5 44.4% — — —

BTTS 60.8% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 53 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 43%

O2.5 79%

BTTS 76%

Score Hit 32%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 44%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-4

xG (home)1.7 xG (away)1.7 BTTS prob60.8%

A 38% / xG 1.7-1.7 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 61%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.6%

#2 1–2 8.2%

#3 2–1 8.1%

#4 2–2 7.0%

#5 0–2 4.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Karlsruher B1.7

Reutlingen1.7

COMBINED 3.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.9% · O3.5 PROB 44.4%

Form & verdict PPG

KARLSRUHER B · PPG 1.13

REUTLINGEN · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.13), Away AVERAGE (1.00)

Win probability 1X2

Karlsruher B (H) 37.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Reutlingen (A) 37.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Karlsruher B face Reutlingen in Germany - Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg on Saturday, May 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Karlsruher B a 37% chance, the draw 25% and Reutlingen 38%, so Reutlingen are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Karlsruher B and 1.7 for Reutlingen (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Karlsruher B are averaging 1.13 points per game versus 1.00 for Reutlingen. This match finished 1-4.

Karlsruher B vs Reutlingen Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg

Match Preview & Prediction

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