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Bissingen vs Denzlingen Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg

Baden-Württemberg - 32 ·Saturday, May 16, 2026, 13:30

Bissingen logo
Bissingen
PPG 1.07 · HOME
3 – 1
FULL TIME
✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5
Denzlingen logo
Denzlingen
PPG 0.80 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.8 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.3%0-13.8%0-23.1%0-31.7%0-4+1.0%1 1-04.9%1-18.1%1-26.7%1-33.6%1-4+2.2%2 2-05.2%2-18.6%2-27.0%2-33.9%2-4+2.3%3 3-03.7%3-16.0%3-25.0%3-32.7%3-4+1.6%4+ 4+-03.2%4+-15.2%4+-24.3%4+-32.4%4+-4+1.4%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 50.0%
Draw 24.1%
Away win 25.9%
Over 2.5 63.9%
Over 3.5 51.9%
BTTS 63.0%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

League track record

Based on 53 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 43%
O2.5 79%
BTTS 76%
Score Hit 32%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 60%CONFIDENCE
✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE
xG (home)2.1 xG (away)1.6 BTTS prob63.0%

H 50% / xG 2.1-1.6 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 8.1%
#2 2–1 8.6%
#3 2–2 7.0%
#4 1–2 6.7%
#5 3–1 6.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Bissingen2.1
Denzlingen1.6

COMBINED 3.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.9% · O3.5 PROB 51.9%

Form & verdict PPG

BISSINGEN · PPG 1.07

DENZLINGEN · PPG 0.80

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.07), Away POOR (0.80)

Win probability 1X2

Bissingen (H) 50.0%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 24.1%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Denzlingen (A) 25.9%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Bissingen face Denzlingen in Germany - Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg on Saturday, May 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Bissingen a 50% chance, the draw 24% and Denzlingen 26%, so Bissingen are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for Bissingen and 1.6 for Denzlingen (3.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Bissingen are averaging 1.07 points per game versus 0.80 for Denzlingen. This match finished 3-1.

PredictVantage

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