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Latvia - Virsliga logo Latvia flag Latvia - Virsliga Regular Season - 13 Slokas Stadions Saturday, May 16, 2026 13:00
Super Nova logo Super Nova PPG 0.40
3-1 MISS
Ogre United logo Ogre United PPG 0.00
Over2.5· +11.0% ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
40% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 53.2%
Odds: 1.62 EV: -13.8%
Draw 24.7%
Odds: 3.60 EV: -6.7%
Away 22.1%
Odds: 4.80 EV: +3.6%
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 57.5% Odds: 1.93 +11.0%
Over 3.5 32.4% Odds: 3.35 +8.5%
BTTS 52.6% Odds: 1.85 -2.7%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 2-0
3rd 2-1
4th 1-0
5th 0-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Super Nova
1.94
Ogre United
0.94

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 +11.0% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is +11.0% at these odds — not a recommended bet.

Verdict & Form

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
40%
NEUTRAL

No PPG data

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