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FC Schwaig vs Kirchanschoring Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Bayern Süd

Bayern Süd - 34 ·Saturday, May 16, 2026, 12:00

FC Schwaig

PPG 1.67 · HOME

2 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Kirchanschoring

PPG 1.47 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.67), Away AVERAGE (1.47)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.6%0-19.0%0-27.2%0-33.8%0-4+2.2%1 1-07.2%1-111.5%1-29.2%1-34.9%1-4+2.8%2 2-04.6%2-17.4%2-25.9%2-33.1%2-4+1.8%3 3-02.0%3-13.1%3-22.5%3-31.3%3-4+0.8%4+ 4+-00.8%4+-11.3%4+-21.1%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 32.5% — — —

Draw 25.6% — — —

Away win 41.9% — — —

Over 2.5 58.0% — — —

Over 3.5 32.5% — — —

BTTS 59.7% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 26 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 58%

O2.5 62%

BTTS 73%

Score Hit 39%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 42%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-3

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.6 BTTS prob59.7%

A 42% / xG 1.3-1.6 / O2.5 58% / BTTS 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.5%

#2 1–2 9.2%

#3 0–0 5.6%

#4 2–1 7.4%

#5 0–1 9.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

FC Schwaig1.3

Kirchanschoring1.6

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 58.0% · O3.5 PROB 32.5%

Form & verdict PPG

FC SCHWAIG · PPG 1.67

KIRCHANSCHORING · PPG 1.47

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.67), Away AVERAGE (1.47)

Win probability 1X2

FC Schwaig (H) 32.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 25.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Kirchanschoring (A) 41.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

FC Schwaig face Kirchanschoring in Germany - Oberliga - Bayern Süd on Saturday, May 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives FC Schwaig a 33% chance, the draw 26% and Kirchanschoring 42%, so Kirchanschoring are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for FC Schwaig and 1.6 for Kirchanschoring (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 58% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, FC Schwaig are averaging 1.67 points per game versus 1.47 for Kirchanschoring. This match finished 2-3.

FC Schwaig vs Kirchanschoring Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Bayern Süd

Match Preview & Prediction

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