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Kottern vs Deisenhofen Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Bayern Süd

Bayern Süd - 34 ·Saturday, May 16, 2026, 12:00

Kottern

PPG 1.13 · HOME

3 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Deisenhofen

PPG 1.07 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.13), Away AVERAGE (1.07)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.2%0-17.9%0-26.0%0-33.0%0-4+1.6%1 1-07.5%1-111.3%1-28.6%1-34.4%1-4+2.3%2 2-05.4%2-18.2%2-26.2%2-33.1%2-4+1.7%3 3-02.6%3-13.9%3-23.0%3-31.5%3-4+0.8%4+ 4+-01.3%4+-12.0%4+-21.5%4+-30.8%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 36.6% — — —

Draw 26.1% — — —

Away win 37.3% — — —

Over 2.5 59.1% — — —

Over 3.5 34.4% — — —

BTTS 59.7% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 26 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 58%

O2.5 62%

BTTS 73%

Score Hit 39%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 43%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-0

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob59.7%

A 37% / xG 1.4-1.5 / O2.5 59% / BTTS 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.3%

#2 1–2 8.6%

#3 2–1 8.2%

#4 0–0 5.2%

#5 2–2 6.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Kottern1.4

Deisenhofen1.5

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.1% · O3.5 PROB 34.4%

Form & verdict PPG

KOTTERN · PPG 1.13

DEISENHOFEN · PPG 1.07

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.13), Away AVERAGE (1.07)

Win probability 1X2

Kottern (H) 36.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 26.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Deisenhofen (A) 37.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Kottern face Deisenhofen in Germany - Oberliga - Bayern Süd on Saturday, May 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Kottern a 37% chance, the draw 26% and Deisenhofen 37%, so Deisenhofen are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Kottern and 1.5 for Deisenhofen (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Kottern are averaging 1.13 points per game versus 1.07 for Deisenhofen. This match finished 3-0.

Kottern vs Deisenhofen Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Bayern Süd

Match Preview & Prediction

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