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Gundelfingen vs Landsberg Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Bayern Süd

Bayern Süd - 34 ·Saturday, May 16, 2026, 12:00

Gundelfingen logo
Gundelfingen
PPG 1.86 · HOME
2 – 1
FULL TIME
✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5
Landsberg logo
Landsberg
PPG 1.93 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.1 puts the goal expectation above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.4%0-17.0%0-25.5%0-32.9%0-4+1.7%1 1-06.8%1-110.7%1-28.5%1-34.5%1-4+2.5%2 2-05.2%2-18.3%2-26.5%2-33.5%2-4+2.0%3 3-02.7%3-14.2%3-23.4%3-31.8%3-4+1.0%4+ 4+-01.4%4+-12.3%4+-21.8%4+-31.0%4+-4+0.5%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 36.8%
Draw 26.0%
Away win 37.2%
Over 2.5 61.4%
Over 3.5 38.1%
BTTS 59.7%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

League track record

Based on 26 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 58%
O2.5 62%
BTTS 73%
Score Hit 39%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 45%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 2-1
xG (home)1.5 xG (away)1.6 BTTS prob59.7%

A 37% / xG 1.5-1.6 / O2.5 61% / BTTS 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.7%
#2 1–2 8.5%
#3 2–1 8.3%
#4 2–2 6.5%
#5 0–0 4.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Gundelfingen1.5
Landsberg1.6

COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.4% · O3.5 PROB 38.1%

Form & verdict PPG

GUNDELFINGEN · PPG 1.86

LANDSBERG · PPG 1.93

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.86), Away GOOD (1.93)

Win probability 1X2

Gundelfingen (H) 36.8%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 26.0%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Landsberg (A) 37.2%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Gundelfingen face Landsberg in Germany - Oberliga - Bayern Süd on Saturday, May 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Gundelfingen a 37% chance, the draw 26% and Landsberg 37%, so Landsberg are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Gundelfingen and 1.6 for Landsberg (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Gundelfingen are averaging 1.86 points per game versus 1.93 for Landsberg. This match finished 2-1.

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