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T. Augsburg vs Pipinsried Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Bayern Süd

Bayern Süd - 33 ·Saturday, May 9, 2026, 13:00

T. Augsburg

PPG 0.80 · HOME

2 – 5

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · AWAY

Pipinsried

PPG 1.54 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.54) vs Home POOR (0.80)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.4%0-110.4%0-212.2%0-39.6%0-4+9.7%1 1-03.4%1-18.0%1-29.4%1-37.3%1-4+7.5%2 2-01.3%2-13.1%2-23.6%2-32.8%2-4+2.9%3 3-00.3%3-10.8%3-20.9%3-30.7%3-4+0.7%4+ 4+-00.1%4+-10.2%4+-20.2%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 12.7% — — —

Draw 22.1% — — —

Away win 65.1% — — —

Over 2.5 60.2% — — —

Over 3.5 37.8% — — —

BTTS 52.3% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 26 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 58%

O2.5 62%

BTTS 73%

Score Hit 39%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 55%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-5

xG (home)0.8 xG (away)2.3 BTTS prob52.3%

A 65% / xG 0.8-2.3 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–2 12.2%

#2 0–3 9.6%

#3 1–2 9.4%

#4 0–1 10.4%

#5 1–1 8.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

T. Augsburg0.8

Pipinsried2.3

COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 60.2% · O3.5 PROB 37.8%

Form & verdict PPG

T. AUGSBURG · PPG 0.80

PIPINSRIED · PPG 1.54

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.54) vs Home POOR (0.80)

Win probability 1X2

T. Augsburg (H) 12.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Pipinsried (A) 65.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

T. Augsburg face Pipinsried in Germany - Oberliga - Bayern Süd on Saturday, May 9, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives T. Augsburg a 13% chance, the draw 22% and Pipinsried 65%, so Pipinsried are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for T. Augsburg and 2.3 for Pipinsried (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-2. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, T. Augsburg are averaging 0.80 points per game versus 1.54 for Pipinsried. This match finished 2-5.

T. Augsburg vs Pipinsried Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Bayern Süd

Match Preview & Prediction

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