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Deisenhofen vs Turkgucu M. Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Bayern Süd

Bayern Süd - 33 ·Saturday, May 9, 2026, 12:00

Deisenhofen

PPG 2.00 · HOME

4 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

Turkgucu M.

PPG 0.20 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.00) vs P(Home)=63.4%

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.2%0-13.4%0-21.1%0-30.2%0-4+0.0%1 1-012.0%1-17.9%1-22.6%1-30.6%1-4+0.1%2 2-013.7%2-19.0%2-23.0%2-30.7%2-4+0.1%3 3-010.5%3-16.9%3-22.3%3-30.5%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-010.3%4+-16.8%4+-22.2%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 63.4% — — —

Draw 22.4% — — —

Away win 14.2% — — —

Over 2.5 59.3% — — —

Over 3.5 34.2% — — —

BTTS 50.9% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 26 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 58%

O2.5 62%

BTTS 73%

Score Hit 39%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 52%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 4-1

xG (home)2.3 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob50.9%

H 63% / xG 2.3-0.7 / O2.5 59% / BTTS 51%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 13.7%

#2 1–0 12.0%

#3 3–0 10.5%

#4 1–1 7.9%

#5 2–1 9.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Deisenhofen2.3

Turkgucu M.0.7

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.3% · O3.5 PROB 34.2%

Form & verdict PPG

DEISENHOFEN · PPG 2.00

TURKGUCU M. · PPG 0.20

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.00) vs P(Home)=63.4%

Win probability 1X2

Deisenhofen (H) 63.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Turkgucu M. (A) 14.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Deisenhofen face Turkgucu M. in Germany - Oberliga - Bayern Süd on Saturday, May 9, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Deisenhofen a 63% chance, the draw 22% and Turkgucu M. 14%, so Deisenhofen are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.3 for Deisenhofen and 0.7 for Turkgucu M. (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 51% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Deisenhofen are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 0.20 for Turkgucu M.. This match finished 4-1.

Deisenhofen vs Turkgucu M. Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Bayern Süd

Match Preview & Prediction

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