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Heimstetten vs S. Hauzenberg Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Bayern Süd

Bayern Süd - 34 ·Saturday, May 16, 2026, 12:00

Heimstetten

PPG 1.73 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · HOME

S. Hauzenberg

PPG 0.33 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Home team in GOOD form (1.73), Away POOR (0.33) - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.4%0-11.9%0-20.8%0-30.2%0-4+0.1%1 1-06.9%1-15.7%1-22.3%1-30.6%1-4+0.2%2 2-010.1%2-18.3%2-23.4%2-30.9%2-4+0.2%3 3-09.9%3-18.1%3-23.3%3-30.9%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-014.8%4+-112.1%4+-25.0%4+-31.3%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 68.1% — — —

Draw 22.7% — — —

Away win 9.2% — — —

Over 2.5 63.9% — — —

Over 3.5 51.4% — — —

BTTS 52.6% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 26 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 58%

O2.5 62%

BTTS 73%

Score Hit 39%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 63%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)2.9 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob52.6%

H 68% / xG 2.9-0.8 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 10.1%

#2 3–0 9.9%

#3 2–1 8.3%

#4 3–1 8.1%

#5 4–0 7.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Heimstetten2.9

S. Hauzenberg0.8

COMBINED 3.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.9% · O3.5 PROB 51.4%

Form & verdict PPG

HEIMSTETTEN · PPG 1.73

S. HAUZENBERG · PPG 0.33

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in GOOD form (1.73), Away POOR (0.33) - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Heimstetten (H) 68.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

S. Hauzenberg (A) 9.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Heimstetten face S. Hauzenberg in Germany - Oberliga - Bayern Süd on Saturday, May 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Heimstetten a 68% chance, the draw 23% and S. Hauzenberg 9%, so Heimstetten are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.9 for Heimstetten and 0.8 for S. Hauzenberg (3.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Heimstetten are averaging 1.73 points per game versus 0.33 for S. Hauzenberg. This match finished 1-1.

Heimstetten vs S. Hauzenberg Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Bayern Süd

Match Preview & Prediction

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