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Goppinger SV vs Oberachern Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg

Baden-Württemberg - 32 ·Saturday, May 16, 2026, 12:00

Goppinger SV

PPG 1.07 · HOME

1 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Oberachern

PPG 1.47 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.4 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.3%0-14.9%0-23.7%0-31.9%0-4+1.0%1 1-06.2%1-19.4%1-27.1%1-33.6%1-4+1.9%2 2-05.9%2-19.0%2-26.8%2-33.4%2-4+1.8%3 3-03.8%3-15.7%3-24.3%3-32.2%3-4+1.2%4+ 4+-02.8%4+-14.2%4+-23.2%4+-31.6%4+-4+0.9%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 49.1% — — —

Draw 24.6% — — —

Away win 26.3% — — —

Over 2.5 63.9% — — —

Over 3.5 44.7% — — —

BTTS 59.7% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 53 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 43%

O2.5 79%

BTTS 76%

Score Hit 32%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 50%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-2

xG (home)1.9 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob59.7%

H 49% / xG 1.9-1.5 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.4%

#2 2–1 9.0%

#3 1–2✓ 7.1%

#4 2–2 6.8%

#5 2–0 5.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Goppinger SV1.9

Oberachern1.5

COMBINED 3.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.9% · O3.5 PROB 44.7%

Form & verdict PPG

GOPPINGER SV · PPG 1.07

OBERACHERN · PPG 1.47

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

Home weakness: AVERAGE (1.07) vs Away AVERAGE (1.47)

Win probability 1X2

Goppinger SV (H) 49.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Oberachern (A) 26.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Goppinger SV face Oberachern in Germany - Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg on Saturday, May 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Goppinger SV a 49% chance, the draw 25% and Oberachern 26%, so Goppinger SV are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Goppinger SV and 1.5 for Oberachern (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Goppinger SV are averaging 1.07 points per game versus 1.47 for Oberachern. This match finished 1-2.

Goppinger SV vs Oberachern Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg

Match Preview & Prediction

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