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Sokol Kleczew vs O. Grudziadz Prediction— Poland - II Liga - East

Poland - II Liga - East logo Poland flag Poland - II Liga - East Regular Season - 28 Stadion Miejski· Kleczew Saturday, April 18, 2026 13:00
Sokol Kleczew logo Sokol Kleczew PPG 1.21
1-0 MISS
O. Grudziadz logo O. Grudziadz PPG 1.62
Over3.5· +44.1% ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team
65% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Sokol Kleczew face O. Grudziadz in Poland - II Liga - East on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Sokol Kleczew a 22% chance, the draw 19% and O. Grudziadz 58%, so O. Grudziadz are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Sokol Kleczew and 2.4 for O. Grudziadz (3.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-2. There is a 73% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 69% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Sokol Kleczew are averaging 1.21 points per game versus 1.62 for O. Grudziadz. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +44.1%. This match finished 1-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 22.4%
Odds: 4.00 EV: -10.4%
Draw 19.3%
Odds: 3.70 EV: -28.6%
Away 58.3%
Odds: 1.70 EV: -0.9%
Model lean: Over 2.5
Result: Home ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 72.9% Odds: 1.73 +26.1%
Over 3.5 52.4% Odds: 2.75 +44.1%
BTTS 68.8% Odds: 1.73 +19.0%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-2
2nd 1-1
3rd 1-3
4th 2-2
5th 0-2

Expected Goals (xG)

Sokol Kleczew
1.43
O. Grudziadz
2.36

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 +26.1% ROI TRACKS: Over 2.5
Tracked ROI market: Over 2.5.
Raw EV leader: Over3.5(+44.1%)

League Track Record

Based on 58 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 47%
O2.5/Under 50%
BTTS/No 53%
Score Hit 50%
ROI 23.1%
Bet Hit 71% (14 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team
65%
DANGER

Home weakness: AVERAGE (1.21) vs Away GOOD (1.62)

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