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Rijnsburgse B. vs Koninklijke HFC Prediction— Netherlands - Tweede Divisie

Regular Season - 30 ·Saturday, April 18, 2026, 12:30

Rijnsburgse B.

PPG 1.71 · HOME

2 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

Koninklijke HFC

PPG 0.50 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Model probability 61.5% vs bookmaker-implied 69.4%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.4%0-14.6%0-22.4%0-30.8%0-4+0.3%1 1-09.2%1-19.5%1-24.9%1-31.7%1-4+0.6%2 2-09.6%2-19.9%2-25.2%2-31.8%2-4+0.6%3 3-06.7%3-16.9%3-23.6%3-31.2%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-05.6%4+-15.8%4+-23.0%4+-31.1%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 61.5% 69.4% 1.44 -11.4%

Draw 20.5% 23.8% 4.20 -13.9%

Away win 18.0% 20.0% 5.00 -10.0%

Over 2.5 60.5% — — —

Over 3.5 38.1% — — —

BTTS 56.6% 63.7% 1.57 -11.1%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 29 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 72%

O2.5 69%

BTTS 55%

Score Hit 28%

ROI 27.0%

Bet Hit 86%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 57%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-0

xG (home)2.1 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob56.6%

H 62% / xG 2.1-1.0 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 57%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 9.9%

#2 2–0✓ 9.6%

#3 1–1 9.5%

#4 1–0 9.2%

#5 3–1 6.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Rijnsburgse B.2.1

Koninklijke HFC1.0

COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 60.5% · O3.5 PROB 38.1%

Form & verdict PPG

RIJNSBURGSE B. · PPG 1.71

KONINKLIJKE HFC · PPG 0.50

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.71) vs P(Home)=61.5%

Win probability 1X2

Rijnsburgse B. (H) 61.5%

ODDS 1.44 · IMPLIED 69.4% EV -11.4%

Draw 20.5%

ODDS 4.20 · IMPLIED 23.8% EV -13.9%

Koninklijke HFC (A) 18.0%

ODDS 5.00 · IMPLIED 20.0% EV -10.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Rijnsburgse B. face Koninklijke HFC in Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Rijnsburgse B. a 62% chance, the draw 21% and Koninklijke HFC 18%, so Rijnsburgse B. are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for Rijnsburgse B. and 1.0 for Koninklijke HFC (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 57% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Rijnsburgse B. are averaging 1.71 points per game versus 0.50 for Koninklijke HFC. This match finished 2-0.

Rijnsburgse B. vs Koninklijke HFC Prediction— Netherlands - Tweede Divisie

Match Preview & Prediction

More Netherlands - Tweede Divisie Predictions