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Sweden - Ettan - Norra Saturday, May 16, 2026 11:00 
Karlberg PPG 1.33 
Jarfalla PPG 0.50
Sweden - Ettan - Norra Saturday, May 16, 2026 11:00 Karlberg PPG 1.331-3 MISS
Jarfalla PPG 0.50Away· -3.1% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away
✘
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 59.1% Odds: 1.55 -8.4%
Over 3.5 34.1% Odds: 2.38 -18.8%
BTTS 54.6% Odds: 1.50 -18.1%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st 1-1 ✘
2nd 2-1 ✘
3rd 2-0 ✘
4th 1-0 ✘
5th 0-0 ✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Karlberg 1.86
Jarfalla 1.08
Model Suggestion
Over 2.5 -8.4% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -8.4% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME 55%
Home outperforming model: AVERAGE form (1.33) vs P(Home)=51.7%