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Quick Boys vs GVVV Prediction— Netherlands - Tweede Divisie

Regular Season - 30 ·Saturday, April 18, 2026, 13:00

Quick Boys

PPG 2.00 · HOME

6 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

GVVV

PPG 1.29 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Model probability 66.3% vs bookmaker-implied 63.7% — a real, if thin, edge.

+4.1% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.8%0-13.8%0-21.9%0-30.6%0-4+0.2%1 1-08.7%1-18.6%1-24.3%1-31.4%1-4+0.4%2 2-09.9%2-19.8%2-24.8%2-31.6%2-4+0.5%3 3-07.5%3-17.4%3-23.7%3-31.2%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-07.3%4+-17.2%4+-23.6%4+-31.2%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 66.3% 63.7% 1.57 +4.1%

Draw 18.6% 25.0% 4.00 -25.6%

Away win 15.0% 23.8% 4.20 -37.0%

Over 2.5 63.4% 63.7% 1.57 -0.5%

Over 3.5 41.3% — — —

BTTS 56.4% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 29 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 72%

O2.5 69%

BTTS 55%

Score Hit 28%

ROI 27.0%

Bet Hit 86%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 56%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 6-0

xG (home)2.3 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob56.4%

H 66% / xG 2.3-1.0 / O2.5 63% / BTTS 56%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 9.9%

#2 2–1 9.8%

#3 1–0 8.7%

#4 1–1 8.6%

#5 3–0 7.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Quick Boys2.3

GVVV1.0

COMBINED 3.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.4% · O3.5 PROB 41.3%

Form & verdict PPG

QUICK BOYS · PPG 2.00

GVVV · PPG 1.29

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.00) > Away AVERAGE (1.29)

Win probability 1X2

Quick Boys (H) 66.3%

ODDS 1.57 · IMPLIED 63.7% EV +4.1%

Draw 18.6%

ODDS 4.00 · IMPLIED 25.0% EV -25.6%

GVVV (A) 15.0%

ODDS 4.20 · IMPLIED 23.8% EV -37.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Quick Boys face GVVV in Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Quick Boys a 66% chance, the draw 19% and GVVV 15%, so Quick Boys are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.3 for Quick Boys and 1.0 for GVVV (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Quick Boys are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 1.29 for GVVV. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +4.1%. This match finished 6-0.

Quick Boys vs GVVV Prediction— Netherlands - Tweede Divisie

Match Preview & Prediction

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