Today / Netherlands - Tweede Divisie / Kozakken Boys vs RKAV Volendam

Kozakken Boys vs RKAV Volendam Prediction— Netherlands - Tweede Divisie

Matchday 30 ·Saturday, April 18, 2026, 13:00

Kozakken Boys logo
Kozakken Boys
PPG 1.00 · HOME
LAST 5
DWWDL
0 – 0
FULL TIME
✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS
RKAV Volendam logo
RKAV Volendam
PPG 1.29 · AWAY
LAST 5
DLLWL

// Model verdict

BTTS 63% chance

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.00), Away AVERAGE (1.29)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.2%0-17.3%0-26.4%0-33.7%0-4+2.4%1 1-05.9%1-110.4%1-29.1%1-35.3%1-4+3.5%2 2-04.2%2-17.4%2-26.5%2-33.8%2-4+2.5%3 3-02.0%3-13.5%3-23.1%3-31.8%3-4+1.2%4+ 4+-01.0%4+-11.7%4+-21.5%4+-30.9%4+-4+0.6%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 31.4% 57.8% 1.73 -45.7%
Draw 23.2% 25.0% 4.00 -7.2%
Away win 45.4% 28.6% 3.50 +58.9%
Over 2.5 61.5% 65.4% 1.53 -5.9%
Over 3.5 39.2%
BTTS 62.8%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

League track record

Based on 43 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 58%
O2.5 65%
BTTS 63%
Score Hit 37%
ROI 35.8%
Bet Hit 83%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 43%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 0-0
xG (home)1.4 xG (away)1.8 BTTS prob62.8%

A 45% / xG 1.4-1.8 / O2.5 62% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.4%
#2 1–2 9.1%
#3 2–1 7.4%
#4 0–1 7.3%
#5 2–2 6.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Kozakken Boys1.4
RKAV Volendam1.8

COMBINED 3.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.5% · O3.5 PROB 39.2%

Form & verdict PPG

KOZAKKEN BOYS · PPG 1.00

RKAV VOLENDAM · PPG 1.29

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity
Chance this pick lands
63%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.00), Away AVERAGE (1.29)

Win probability 1X2

Kozakken Boys (H) 31.4%
ODDS 1.73 · IMPLIED 57.8% EV -45.7%
Draw 23.2%
ODDS 4.00 · IMPLIED 25.0% EV -7.2%
RKAV Volendam (A) 45.4%
ODDS 3.50 · IMPLIED 28.6% EV +58.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

Kozakken Boys face RKAV Volendam in Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Kozakken Boys a 31% chance, the draw 23% and RKAV Volendam 45%, so RKAV Volendam are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Kozakken Boys and 1.8 for RKAV Volendam (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Kozakken Boys are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 1.29 for RKAV Volendam. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +58.9%. This match finished 0-0.

PredictVantage

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