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Kozakken Boys vs RKAV Volendam Prediction— Netherlands - Tweede Divisie

Regular Season - 30 ·Saturday, April 18, 2026, 13:00

Kozakken Boys

PPG 1.00 · HOME

0 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

RKAV Volendam

PPG 1.29 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.00), Away AVERAGE (1.29)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.2%0-17.3%0-26.4%0-33.7%0-4+2.4%1 1-05.9%1-110.4%1-29.1%1-35.3%1-4+3.5%2 2-04.2%2-17.4%2-26.5%2-33.8%2-4+2.5%3 3-02.0%3-13.5%3-23.1%3-31.8%3-4+1.2%4+ 4+-01.0%4+-11.7%4+-21.5%4+-30.9%4+-4+0.6%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 31.4% 57.8% 1.73 -45.7%

Draw 23.2% 25.0% 4.00 -7.2%

Away win 45.4% 28.6% 3.50 +58.9%

Over 2.5 61.5% 65.4% 1.53 -5.9%

Over 3.5 39.2% — — —

BTTS 62.8% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 29 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 72%

O2.5 69%

BTTS 55%

Score Hit 28%

ROI 27.0%

Bet Hit 86%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 43%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)1.8 BTTS prob62.8%

A 45% / xG 1.4-1.8 / O2.5 62% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.4%

#2 1–2 9.1%

#3 2–1 7.4%

#4 0–1 7.3%

#5 2–2 6.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Kozakken Boys1.4

RKAV Volendam1.8

COMBINED 3.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.5% · O3.5 PROB 39.2%

Form & verdict PPG

KOZAKKEN BOYS · PPG 1.00

RKAV VOLENDAM · PPG 1.29

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.00), Away AVERAGE (1.29)

Win probability 1X2

Kozakken Boys (H) 31.4%

ODDS 1.73 · IMPLIED 57.8% EV -45.7%

Draw 23.2%

ODDS 4.00 · IMPLIED 25.0% EV -7.2%

RKAV Volendam (A) 45.4%

ODDS 3.50 · IMPLIED 28.6% EV +58.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

Kozakken Boys face RKAV Volendam in Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Kozakken Boys a 31% chance, the draw 23% and RKAV Volendam 45%, so RKAV Volendam are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Kozakken Boys and 1.8 for RKAV Volendam (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Kozakken Boys are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 1.29 for RKAV Volendam. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +58.9%. This match finished 0-0.

Kozakken Boys vs RKAV Volendam Prediction— Netherlands - Tweede Divisie

Match Preview & Prediction

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