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IJsselmeervogel vs E. Maassluis Prediction— Netherlands - Tweede Divisie

Matchday 30 ·Saturday, April 18, 2026, 13:00

IJsselmeervogel

PPG 0.93 · HOME

LAST 5

WWWLW

0 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

E. Maassluis

PPG 0.43 · AWAY

LAST 5

WLWWL

// Model verdict

BTTS 63% chance

Home slight advantage: POOR (0.93) > Away POOR (0.43)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.1%0-16.1%0-24.5%0-32.2%0-4+1.1%1 1-07.1%1-110.4%1-27.7%1-33.8%1-4+1.9%2 2-06.1%2-19.0%2-26.6%2-33.2%2-4+1.6%3 3-03.5%3-15.1%3-23.8%3-31.8%3-4+0.9%4+ 4+-02.2%4+-13.2%4+-22.4%4+-31.2%4+-4+0.6%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 43.7% 47.6% 2.10 -8.2%

Draw 23.3% 27.0% 3.70 -13.8%

Away win 33.0% 36.4% 2.75 -9.3%

Over 2.5 61.8% 60.6% 1.65 +2.0%

Over 3.5 39.5% — — —

BTTS 63.2% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 43 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 58%

O2.5 65%

BTTS 63%

Score Hit 37%

ROI 35.8%

Bet Hit 83%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 43%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)1.7 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob63.2%

H 44% / xG 1.7-1.5 / O2.5 62% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.4%

#2 2–1 9.0%

#3 1–2 7.7%

#4 1–0 7.1%

#5 2–2 6.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

IJsselmeervogel1.7

E. Maassluis1.5

COMBINED 3.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.8% · O3.5 PROB 39.5%

Form & verdict PPG

IJSSELMEERVOGEL · PPG 0.93

E. MAASSLUIS · PPG 0.43

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

Chance this pick lands

63%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: POOR (0.93) > Away POOR (0.43)

Win probability 1X2

IJsselmeervogel (H) 43.7%

ODDS 2.10 · IMPLIED 47.6% EV -8.2%

Draw 23.3%

ODDS 3.70 · IMPLIED 27.0% EV -13.8%

E. Maassluis (A) 33.0%

ODDS 2.75 · IMPLIED 36.4% EV -9.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

IJsselmeervogel face E. Maassluis in Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives IJsselmeervogel a 44% chance, the draw 23% and E. Maassluis 33%, so IJsselmeervogel are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for IJsselmeervogel and 1.5 for E. Maassluis (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, IJsselmeervogel are averaging 0.93 points per game versus 0.43 for E. Maassluis. The best value bet our model finds is over 2.5 goals, with an expected value of +2.0%. This match finished 0-0.

IJsselmeervogel vs E. Maassluis Prediction— Netherlands - Tweede Divisie

Match Preview & Prediction

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