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Resovia Rzeszow vs Stalowa Wola Prediction— Poland - II Liga - East

Regular Season - 32 ·Friday, May 15, 2026, 18:00

Resovia Rzeszow

PPG 1.47 · HOME

2 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Stalowa Wola

PPG 1.07 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 54.6% vs bookmaker-implied 66.7%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.3%0-18.4%0-25.5%0-32.4%0-4+1.1%1 1-09.1%1-112.0%1-27.9%1-33.5%1-4+1.5%2 2-06.6%2-18.7%2-25.7%2-32.5%2-4+1.1%3 3-03.2%3-14.2%3-22.7%3-31.2%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-01.6%4+-12.1%4+-21.4%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 38.7% 44.4% 2.25 -12.9%

Draw 26.1% 31.3% 3.20 -9.9%

Away win 35.2% 38.2% 2.62 -7.8%

Over 2.5 52.3% 61.7% 1.62 -15.3%

Over 3.5 29.9% 40.0% 2.50 -15.2%

BTTS 54.6% 66.7% 1.50 -18.1%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 58 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 47%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 53%

Score Hit 50%

ROI -7.9%

Bet Hit 57%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 27%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-2

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob54.6%

H 39% / xG 1.4-1.3 / O2.5 52% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.0%

#2 2–1 8.7%

#3 0–0 6.3%

#4 1–2 7.9%

#5 1–0 9.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Resovia Rzeszow1.4

Stalowa Wola1.3

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 52.3% · O3.5 PROB 29.9%

Form & verdict PPG

RESOVIA RZESZOW · PPG 1.47

STALOWA WOLA · PPG 1.07

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.47) > Away AVERAGE (1.07)

Win probability 1X2

Resovia Rzeszow (H) 38.7%

ODDS 2.25 · IMPLIED 44.4% EV -12.9%

Draw 26.1%

ODDS 3.20 · IMPLIED 31.3% EV -9.9%

Stalowa Wola (A) 35.2%

ODDS 2.62 · IMPLIED 38.2% EV -7.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Resovia Rzeszow face Stalowa Wola in Poland - II Liga - East on Friday, May 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Resovia Rzeszow a 39% chance, the draw 26% and Stalowa Wola 35%, so Resovia Rzeszow are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Resovia Rzeszow and 1.3 for Stalowa Wola (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Resovia Rzeszow are averaging 1.47 points per game versus 1.07 for Stalowa Wola. This match finished 2-2.

Resovia Rzeszow vs Stalowa Wola Prediction— Poland - II Liga - East

Match Preview & Prediction

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