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Nottingen vs Ravensburg Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg

Baden-Württemberg - 32 ·Friday, May 15, 2026, 17:00

Nottingen

PPG 1.53 · HOME

1 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Ravensburg

PPG 1.93 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Home weakness: GOOD (1.53) vs Away GOOD (1.93)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.5%0-12.8%0-22.7%0-31.7%0-4+1.2%1 1-03.4%1-16.5%1-26.2%1-33.9%1-4+2.8%2 2-04.0%2-17.5%2-27.1%2-34.5%2-4+3.3%3 3-03.1%3-15.8%3-25.5%3-33.5%3-4+2.6%4+ 4+-03.1%4+-15.8%4+-25.5%4+-33.5%4+-4+2.6%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 46.7% — — —

Draw 23.1% — — —

Away win 30.2% — — —

Over 2.5 64.7% — — —

Over 3.5 60.8% — — —

BTTS 65.3% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 53 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 43%

O2.5 79%

BTTS 76%

Score Hit 32%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 2 54%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-0

xG (home)2.3 xG (away)1.9 BTTS prob65.3%

H 47% / xG 2.3-1.9 / O2.5 65% / BTTS 65%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 7.5%

#2 1–1 6.5%

#3 2–2 7.1%

#4 1–2 6.2%

#5 3–1 5.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Nottingen2.3

Ravensburg1.9

COMBINED 4.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 64.7% · O3.5 PROB 60.8%

Form & verdict PPG

NOTTINGEN · PPG 1.53

RAVENSBURG · PPG 1.93

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

Home weakness: GOOD (1.53) vs Away GOOD (1.93)

Win probability 1X2

Nottingen (H) 46.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 23.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Ravensburg (A) 30.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Nottingen face Ravensburg in Germany - Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg on Friday, May 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Nottingen a 47% chance, the draw 23% and Ravensburg 30%, so Nottingen are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.3 for Nottingen and 1.9 for Ravensburg (4.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 65% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Nottingen are averaging 1.53 points per game versus 1.93 for Ravensburg. This match finished 1-0.

Nottingen vs Ravensburg Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg

Match Preview & Prediction

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