Today / Poland - II Liga - East / LKS Lodz B vs Unia Skierniewi

LKS Lodz B vs Unia Skierniewi Prediction— Poland - II Liga - East

Regular Season - 32 ·Friday, May 15, 2026, 15:00

LKS Lodz B

PPG 1.00 · HOME

1 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · AWAY

Unia Skierniewi

PPG 2.13 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

Model probability 60.3% vs bookmaker-implied 58.8% — a real, if thin, edge.

+2.5% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.5%0-19.5%0-210.0%0-37.0%0-4+6.0%1 1-04.5%1-19.5%1-29.9%1-37.0%1-4+5.9%2 2-02.2%2-14.7%2-25.0%2-33.5%2-4+3.0%3 3-00.7%3-11.6%3-21.6%3-31.2%3-4+1.0%4+ 4+-00.2%4+-10.5%4+-20.5%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 14.5% 25.0% 4.00 -25.2%

Draw 25.2% 29.4% 3.40 -8.6%

Away win 60.3% 58.8% 1.70 +2.5%

Over 2.5 60.0% 59.9% 1.67 +0.2%

Over 3.5 37.5% 38.2% 2.62 -1.8%

BTTS 54.6% 61.7% 1.62 -11.6%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 58 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 47%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 53%

Score Hit 50%

ROI -7.9%

Bet Hit 57%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 54%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-3

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)2.1 BTTS prob54.6%

A 60% / xG 1.0-2.1 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.5%

#2 0–2 10.0%

#3 1–2 9.9%

#4 0–1 9.5%

#5 0–3 7.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

LKS Lodz B1.0

Unia Skierniewi2.1

COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 60.0% · O3.5 PROB 37.5%

Form & verdict PPG

LKS LODZ B · PPG 1.00

UNIA SKIERNIEWI · PPG 2.13

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.13) vs Home AVERAGE (1.00)

Win probability 1X2

LKS Lodz B (H) 14.5%

ODDS 4.00 · IMPLIED 25.0% EV -25.2%

Draw 25.2%

ODDS 3.40 · IMPLIED 29.4% EV -8.6%

Unia Skierniewi (A) 60.3%

ODDS 1.70 · IMPLIED 58.8% EV +2.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

LKS Lodz B face Unia Skierniewi in Poland - II Liga - East on Friday, May 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives LKS Lodz B a 14% chance, the draw 25% and Unia Skierniewi 60%, so Unia Skierniewi are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for LKS Lodz B and 2.1 for Unia Skierniewi (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, LKS Lodz B are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 2.13 for Unia Skierniewi. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +2.5%. This match finished 1-3.

LKS Lodz B vs Unia Skierniewi Prediction— Poland - II Liga - East

Match Preview & Prediction

More Poland - II Liga - East Predictions