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Metalist U19 vs Epitsentr U19 Prediction— Ukraine - U19 League

Regular Season - 29 ·Friday, May 15, 2026, 10:00

Metalist U19

PPG 1.71 · HOME

5 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Epitsentr U19

PPG 0.64 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.3 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.6%0-13.4%0-21.5%0-30.5%0-4+0.1%1 1-08.7%1-18.0%1-23.7%1-31.1%1-4+0.3%2 2-010.4%2-19.6%2-24.4%2-31.4%2-4+0.4%3 3-08.3%3-17.6%3-23.5%3-31.1%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-08.7%4+-18.0%4+-23.7%4+-31.1%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 59.6% — — —

Draw 22.1% — — —

Away win 18.3% — — —

Over 2.5 60.1% — — —

Over 3.5 42.2% — — —

BTTS 54.3% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 39 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 67%

O2.5 69%

BTTS 64%

Score Hit 41%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 47%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 5-1

xG (home)2.4 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob54.3%

H 60% / xG 2.4-0.9 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 54%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 10.4%

#2 2–1 9.6%

#3 1–1 8.0%

#4 3–0 8.3%

#5 3–1 7.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Metalist U192.4

Epitsentr U190.9

COMBINED 3.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 60.1% · O3.5 PROB 42.2%

Form & verdict PPG

METALIST U19 · PPG 1.71

EPITSENTR U19 · PPG 0.64

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.71) vs P(Home)=59.6%

Win probability 1X2

Metalist U19 (H) 59.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Epitsentr U19 (A) 18.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Metalist U19 face Epitsentr U19 in Ukraine - U19 League on Friday, May 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Metalist U19 a 60% chance, the draw 22% and Epitsentr U19 18%, so Metalist U19 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.4 for Metalist U19 and 0.9 for Epitsentr U19 (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 54% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Metalist U19 are averaging 1.71 points per game versus 0.64 for Epitsentr U19. This match finished 5-1.

Metalist U19 vs Epitsentr U19 Prediction— Ukraine - U19 League

Match Preview & Prediction

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