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Kolos U19 vs Obolon Kyiv U19 Prediction— Ukraine - U19 League

Regular Season - 29 ·Friday, May 15, 2026, 10:00

Kolos U19 logo
Kolos U19
PPG 1.71 · HOME
3 – 2
FULL TIME
✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME
Obolon Kyiv U19 logo
Obolon Kyiv U19
PPG 1.36 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.71) > Away AVERAGE (1.36)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.5%0-16.4%0-22.7%0-30.8%0-4+0.2%1 1-013.0%1-111.1%1-24.7%1-31.3%1-4+0.3%2 2-011.4%2-19.7%2-24.1%2-31.2%2-4+0.3%3 3-06.6%3-15.6%3-22.4%3-30.7%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-04.3%4+-13.6%4+-21.5%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.1%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 52.5%
Draw 25.5%
Away win 22.0%
Over 2.5 52.3%
Over 3.5 26.3%
BTTS 52.1%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

League track record

Based on 39 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 67%
O2.5 69%
BTTS 64%
Score Hit 41%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 31%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 3-2
xG (home)1.7 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob52.1%

H 52% / xG 1.7-0.9 / O2.5 52% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.1%
#2 1–0 13.0%
#3 2–0 11.4%
#4 2–1 9.7%
#5 0–0 7.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Kolos U191.7
Obolon Kyiv U190.9

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 52.3% · O3.5 PROB 26.3%

Form & verdict PPG

KOLOS U19 · PPG 1.71

OBOLON KYIV U19 · PPG 1.36

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.71) > Away AVERAGE (1.36)

Win probability 1X2

Kolos U19 (H) 52.5%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 25.5%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Obolon Kyiv U19 (A) 22.0%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Kolos U19 face Obolon Kyiv U19 in Ukraine - U19 League on Friday, May 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Kolos U19 a 53% chance, the draw 26% and Obolon Kyiv U19 22%, so Kolos U19 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Kolos U19 and 0.9 for Obolon Kyiv U19 (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Kolos U19 are averaging 1.71 points per game versus 1.36 for Obolon Kyiv U19. This match finished 3-2.

PredictVantage

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