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Spain - La Liga logo Spain flag Spain - La Liga Regular Season - 36 Estadio de Mestalla· Valencia Thursday, May 14, 2026 17:00
Valencia logo Valencia PPG 1.53
1-1 HIT MostLikelyScore
Rayo Vallecano logo Rayo Vallecano PPG 0.88
Draw· +0.2% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 41.5%
Odds: 2.22 EV: -7.9%
Draw 31.3%
Odds: 3.20 EV: +0.2%
Away 27.2%
Odds: 3.30 EV: -6.1%
Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 45.4% Odds: 2.05 -6.9%
Over 3.5 17.4% Odds: 3.65 -21.9%
BTTS 49.7% Odds: 1.80 -10.5%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 0-0
3rd 1-0
4th 0-1
5th 2-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Valencia
1.19
Rayo Vallecano
0.97

Model Suggestion

No Bet NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.53) > Away POOR (0.88)

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