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Spain - La Liga
Regular Season - 36
Estadio de Mestalla· Valencia
Thursday, May 14, 2026
17:00
Valencia
PPG 1.53
1-1
HIT MostLikelyScore
Rayo Vallecano
PPG 0.88
Draw· +0.2%
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home
41.5%
Odds: 2.22
EV: -7.9%
Draw
31.3%
Odds: 3.20
EV: +0.2%
Away
27.2%
Odds: 3.30
EV: -6.1%
Result: Draw ✘
Goals Markets
Over 2.5
45.4%
Odds: 2.05
-6.9%
Over 3.5
17.4%
Odds: 3.65
-21.9%
BTTS
49.7%
Odds: 1.80
-10.5%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔
BTTS NO → YES ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st
1-1
✔
2nd
0-0
✘
3rd
1-0
✘
4th
0-1
✘
5th
2-0
✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Valencia
1.19
Rayo Vallecano
0.97
Model Suggestion
No Bet
NO VALUE BET
Model lean:
No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52%
MODERATE_HOME
Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.53) > Away POOR (0.88)