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Villingen vs Karlsruher B Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg

Baden-Württemberg - 33 ·Wednesday, May 13, 2026, 17:00

Villingen

PPG 1.63 · HOME

0 – 2

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

Karlsruher B

PPG 1.44 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.4 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.3%0-15.0%0-23.8%0-32.0%0-4+1.1%1 1-06.1%1-19.4%1-27.2%1-33.7%1-4+2.0%2 2-05.8%2-18.9%2-26.8%2-33.5%2-4+1.9%3 3-03.7%3-15.6%3-24.3%3-32.2%3-4+1.2%4+ 4+-02.7%4+-14.1%4+-23.1%4+-31.6%4+-4+0.9%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 46.7% — — —

Draw 25.5% — — —

Away win 27.7% — — —

Over 2.5 63.3% — — —

Over 3.5 44.7% — — —

BTTS 59.6% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 53 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 43%

O2.5 79%

BTTS 76%

Score Hit 32%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 47%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-2

xG (home)1.9 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob59.6%

H 47% / xG 1.9-1.5 / O2.5 63% / BTTS 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.4%

#2 2–1 8.9%

#3 1–2 7.2%

#4 2–2 6.8%

#5 2–0 5.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Villingen1.9

Karlsruher B1.5

COMBINED 3.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.3% · O3.5 PROB 44.7%

Form & verdict PPG

VILLINGEN · PPG 1.63

KARLSRUHER B · PPG 1.44

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.63), Away AVERAGE (1.44)

Win probability 1X2

Villingen (H) 46.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 25.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Karlsruher B (A) 27.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Villingen face Karlsruher B in Germany - Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg on Wednesday, May 13, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Villingen a 47% chance, the draw 26% and Karlsruher B 28%, so Villingen are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Villingen and 1.5 for Karlsruher B (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Villingen are averaging 1.63 points per game versus 1.44 for Karlsruher B. This match finished 0-2.

Villingen vs Karlsruher B Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg

Match Preview & Prediction

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