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Pforzheim vs VfR Mannheim Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg

Baden-Württemberg - 33 ·Wednesday, May 13, 2026, 17:00

Pforzheim

PPG 1.31 · HOME

2 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

VfR Mannheim

PPG 2.25 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.7 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.4%0-15.4%0-26.1%0-34.6%0-4+4.4%1 1-03.5%1-17.9%1-29.0%1-36.8%1-4+6.5%2 2-02.6%2-15.9%2-26.6%2-35.0%2-4+4.8%3 3-01.3%3-12.9%3-23.3%3-32.5%3-4+2.4%4+ 4+-00.6%4+-11.5%4+-21.7%4+-31.3%4+-4+1.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 27.4% — — —

Draw 23.3% — — —

Away win 49.3% — — —

Over 2.5 63.3% — — —

Over 3.5 51.4% — — —

BTTS 62.5% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 53 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 43%

O2.5 79%

BTTS 76%

Score Hit 32%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 58%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-1

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)2.3 BTTS prob62.5%

A 49% / xG 1.5-2.3 / O2.5 63% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 7.9%

#2 1–2 9.0%

#3 1–3 6.8%

#4 2–2 6.6%

#5 0–2 6.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Pforzheim1.5

VfR Mannheim2.3

COMBINED 3.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.3% · O3.5 PROB 51.4%

Form & verdict PPG

PFORZHEIM · PPG 1.31

VFR MANNHEIM · PPG 2.25

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.25) vs Home AVERAGE (1.31)

Win probability 1X2

Pforzheim (H) 27.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 23.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

VfR Mannheim (A) 49.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Pforzheim face VfR Mannheim in Germany - Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg on Wednesday, May 13, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Pforzheim a 27% chance, the draw 23% and VfR Mannheim 49%, so VfR Mannheim are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Pforzheim and 2.3 for VfR Mannheim (3.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Pforzheim are averaging 1.31 points per game versus 2.25 for VfR Mannheim. This match finished 2-1.

Pforzheim vs VfR Mannheim Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg

Match Preview & Prediction

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