Villarreal vs Sevilla FC Prediction & Tips

Spain - La Liga Regular Season - 36 Estadio de la Ceramica· Villarreal Wednesday, May 13, 2026 17:00

Villarreal PPG 2.53

2-3 MISS

Sevilla FC PPG 0.88

Home· +18.6% 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned

95% confidence

Home 59.3%

Odds: 2.00 EV: +18.6%

Draw 22.5%

Odds: 3.40 EV: -14.1%

Away 18.2%

Odds: 3.60 EV: -20.7%

Model lean: Over 2.5

Result: Away ✘

Over 2.5 60.1% Odds: 1.75 +5.2%

Over 3.5 40.1% Odds: 2.80 +12.3%

BTTS 52.6% Odds: 1.60 -15.8%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

1st 2-0 ✘

2nd 2-1 ✘

3rd 1-1 ✘

4th 3-0 ✘

5th 1-0 ✘

Villarreal

2.32

Sevilla FC

0.89

Model SuggestionOver 2.5 +5.2% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home. 

Based on 70 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 51%

O2.5/Under 60%

BTTS/No 64%

Score Hit 56%

ROI -19.9%

Bet Hit 42% (26 bets)

🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned

95%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.53) vs P(Home)=59.3%